Former President Trump's odds of returning to the White House are on an upward trajectory, and President Biden's chances of re-election are in free fall as the Democratic Party's presumed nominee faces mounting scrutiny over his ability to serve as commander in chief for another term.
As of Monday, The Economist's prediction model showed Trump had a roughly 3-in-4 (74%) chance of winning the electoral college in 2024, while Biden had a 1-in-4 (26%) chance.
The model predicts Trump will rack up 310 electoral votes out of the 270 needed to win, compared to an expected 228 for Biden. When the two candidates first squared off in 2020, Biden won the presidency with 306 electoral votes to Trump's 232.
