After becoming the underdog during the Kamala Harris “honeymoon phase” of her candidacy, Donald Trump is once again the favorite according to famed statistician Nate Silver, of “FiveThirtyEight” fame.
As seems to be the case, while all discussion was on who won the presidential debate, the obvious question of “did it actually change anyone’s mind?” went unanswered - likely because the same people who thought Harris won (the dominant narrative in the media) knew she didn’t convince anyone by repeating discredited talking points and making funny faces.
The day of the debate, Silver gave Trump a 64.4% chance of winning the presidency to Harris’ 35.3% based on his analysis of the polls. The odds changed slightly the day after the debate in Harris’ favor - but not by much, with Trump still remaining the favorite:
