A new report from the New York Times covering voter patterns over a year’s worth of polling has revealed that if everyone in the US got out and voted come November, Trump would win the presidency.
The outlet looked at results from New York Times/Siena College polls over the past year, organizing voters by most engaged to least engaged. The most engaged voters, those who voted in the 2022 primaries, backed Biden over Trump 49 to 44 percent. Biden’s lead slips among those who voted in the 2022 midterms but not the primaries, with 46 percent supporting Biden and 45 percent supporting Trump.
Trump pulls into the lead among voters who voted in the 2020 presidential election but not in the primaries or midterms, the second to least engaged group, with 44 percent supporting Trump and 42 percent supporting Biden. Among the least engaged group of voters, those with no voting history, Trump saw a double-digit lead over Biden, with 49 percent saying they support Trump and 35 percent saying they support Biden.
